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"Relations in the Russia-Ukraine-EU triangle: 'zero-sum game' or not?" EU-ISS Occasional Paper No. 68, September 2007

Samokhvalov, Vsevolod. (2007) "Relations in the Russia-Ukraine-EU triangle: 'zero-sum game' or not?" EU-ISS Occasional Paper No. 68, September 2007 .

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By introducing the Wider Europe concept and the European Neighborhood Policy, the European Union has actually entered a region which Russia has long considered the sphere of its national interests. Despite the fact that both Moscow and Brussels have repeatedly stated that their respective regional projects in the Post-Soviet Space are not competitors, the steady Euro-Atlantic integration of Ukraine since the Orange Revolution of 2004 has been accompanied by increasing tension in Russian-Ukrainian relations. The present Occasional Paper, which analyses the geoeconomic, geopolitical and socio-cultural dimensions of relations in the Russia-EU-Ukraine triangle, suggests that these relations represent a kind of ‘zero-sum game’. Regardless of the fact that Russia and the EU would like to avoid any clash in the Wider Europe, both sides have been pursuing their own strategies with the same goal in mind – shaping the Post-Soviet Space (PSS) according to their vision. Guided by these diverging visions for the PSS, it seems likely that Moscow and Brussels will seek to achieve different objectives, eventually reaching the point where their strategies and methods will generate tensions or even serious problems in their bilateral relations. Ukraine’s European project as it is currently evolving with the support of Brussels tends to undermine the main components of Moscow’s regional project for the PSS. As Kyiv tries to speed up its European trajectory without becoming overtly hostile to Moscow, it is weakening or even directly jeopardising the Russia-led political, social and economic structures based on the bonds that linked the states of the former Soviet Union – the common industrial complex, intertwined political developments and the single cultural space. Therefore, as a matter of urgency the EU needs to think over its foreign policies in the Eastern Neighbourhood with great care, bearing in mind their impact on relations with Russia, as well as Moscow’s possible response. 

Putin Says Central Asia Wants To Raise Gas Price For Ukraine

MOSCOW, Russia -- Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin on Saturday told his Ukrainian counterpart that Central Asian countries were urging Moscow to increase gas prices for Ukraine.

Russia's Prime Minister Vladimir Putin (R) and his Ukrainian counterpart Yulia Tymoshenko meet in Moscow for talks June 28, 2008.

Putin made the comments at the end of talks in Moscow with Ukranian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko during which he also threatened to restrict military cooperation if the neighbouring country joined the NATO military alliance.

"We would like to move to European prices for Ukraine little by little, but our central Asian partners want to do so from January 1, 2009," Putin told journalists.

"We are negotiating on this question. But it is still too early to talk of results," he added.

The price Ukraine pays for gas imports from Russia could more than double to over 400 dollars (254 euros) per 1,000 cubic metres in 2009, Gazprom chief executive Alexei Miller told reporters earlier this week.

Russia has a number of times reduced or cut altogether gas supplies to its neighbour Ukraine, raising concerns in European Union countries about Moscow's reliability as an energy supplier.

Meanwhile, on Ukraine's NATO ambitions, Putin said Russia remained opposed.

"We believe that the enlargement of NATO is counter productive from the point of view of international security," he said.

Despite appeals from US President George W. Bush, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, at its April Bucharest summit, refused to put Ukraine on a definite track for membership in the Western military alliance.

Wary of alienating a resurgent Russia, European leaders denied both Ukraine and Georgia access to the alliance's Membership Action Plan, or MAP, which grooms states for accession. 


Me? Zero Vision?

If only the flag flutters!

The west's hope in fearfull days, future Empress of RATO!


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